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Daily Qualifiers Guide: Key Terms & Stats Explained

Daily Qualifiers Guide: Key Terms & Stats Explained

All our Daily Qualifiers have passed through a multitude of key filters to appear on this page - that’s why our shortlist tends to find goals on a consistent basis. For those of you who wish to pick your own bets, we’ve done most of the hard work for you here!

Example Daily Qualifier Card

Attack Strengths (coloured indicator to the left of the home team):

  • 🟢 Elite - Average GPG Scored for one team is 2.00+, while their opponents have an Average GPG Scored of 1.50+ (both teams are prolific scorers).
  • 🟡 Strong - Average GPG Scored for one team is 2.00+, while their opponents have an Average GPG Scored of 1.00-1.49 (one team is prolific, while the other is also capable of contributing to the final scoreline).
  • 🔵 Standard - Both teams have an Average GPG Scored of 1.00-1.99 (neither team can be classed as heavy scorers, but goals are still expected based on our stats model).

ℹ️ NOTE: All qualifiers are from league matches only. In addition, no fixture will ever be listed as a qualifier if either team is averaging less than 1.00 goals scored per game.

🗓️ Season Stats (H/A Combined):

  • 🟪 Elite O1.5 Goals team - An "H" in a purple box indicates that the home team in this fixture have cleared Over 1.5 Goals in 90%+ across all of their league games played this season. This highlights that they are consistently surpassing the Over 1.5 Goals line, irrespective of whether they are playing at home or away. These teams are often very reliable for at least two goals in the majority of their fixtures. If the purple box contains an "A" then this indicates that it is the away team who possess the 90%+ Over 1.5 Goals record across their entire league season home and away.
  • 🟥 Elite O2.5 Goals team - An "H" in a red box indicates that the home team in this fixture have cleared Over 2.5 Goals in 80%+ across all of their league games played this season. This highlights that they are consistently surpassing the Over 2.5 Goals line, irrespective of whether they are playing at home or away. These teams are often very reliable for at least three goals in the majority of their fixtures. If the red box contains an "A" then this indicates that it is the away team who possess the 80%+ Over 2.5 Goals record across their entire league season home and away.

🔑 The “key terms” for our Daily Qualifiers List are fully explained below - any questions just drop us an e-mail!

📖 Daily Qualifier Card Glossary:

  • Star Rating - Each fixture is given a Star Rating of 1-5 stars to indicate the strength of the selection - with 1 star being the weakest and 5 stars the strongest goals indicator.
  • "Compare" Button - This button allows the user to select up to 4 separate Daily Qualifier Cards for direct comparison. You can choose which individual stats you wish to compare by ticking the checkboxes under the "Choose Stats" option in the top right corner of the "Compare Matches" page. Our "traffic light system" colour-coding helps you to identify which stats are best and worst for each individual card, helping you in your final decision-making on which fixtures to select for your bets.
  • KO Time, Country & League - Match start time + the country and competition name to make the fixture easy to find at your chosen bookmaker.
  • League Placings - The league positions of both teams are shown in brackets alongside each corresponding team name.
  • O2.5 Form Rating  - Number of games in which the home team have gone Over 2.5 Goals across their last 5 home league matches played + number of games in which the away team have gone Over 2.5 Goals across their last 5 away league matches played.
  • Home Form GPG (FH / SH) - Goals Per Game average for the last 5 home league matches played by the home team, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Away Form GPG (FH / SH) - Goals Per Game average for the last 5 away league matches played by the away team, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Combined Form GPG (FH / SH) - Average of Home Form GPG + Away Form GPG, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • FHG Form Rating - FHG (First Half Goal) strike rate for the last 5 home league matches played by the home team + FHG strike rate for the last 5 away league matches played by the away team. So if this statistic shows a 10 / 10 rating then it means that neither the home team or the away team have had a HT 0-0 in any of their last 5 league matches played (home games for the hosts and away games for the visitors).
  • FHG+ Form Rating - Last 5 home league games played by the home team which have featured 2+ goals in the first half + last 5 away league games played by the away team which have featured 2+ goals in the first half.
  • SHG Form Rating - SHG (Second Half Goal) strike rate for the last 5 home league matches played by the home team + SHG strike rate for the last 5 away league matches played by the away team. So if this statistic shows a 10 / 10 rating then it means that neither the home team or the away team have had a goalless second half in any of their last 5 league matches played (home games for the hosts and away games for the visitors).
  • SHG+ Form Rating - Last 5 home league games played by the home team which have featured 2+ goals in the second half + last 5 away league games played by the away team which have featured 2+ goals in the second half.
  • Home Scored GPG (FH / SH) - Average Goals Per Game Scored by the home team across all of their home league fixtures played this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Home Conceded GPG (FH / SH) - Average Goals Per Game Conceded by the home team across all of their home league fixtures played this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Home Match GPG (FH / SH) - Average Total Goals Per Game across all of the home league fixtures played by the hosts this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Away Scored GPG (FH / SH) - Average Goals Per Game Scored by the away team across all of their away league fixtures played this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Away Conceded GPG (FH / SH) - Average Goals Per Game Conceded by the away team across all of their away league fixtures played this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • Away Match GPG (FH / SH) - Average Total Goals Per Game across all of the away league fixtures played by the visitors this season, including first half and second half goal splits.
  • O2.5 Performance vs Similar - This rating displays how each team’s matches have performed for Over 2.5 Goals when facing opponents in a similar league position to their upcoming fixture (assessing home league matches played for the home team and away league matches played for the away team). Both teams’ data is analysed collectively to form an overall rating. A green tick (✅) indicates that matches against similarly ranked opponents have consistently produced Over 2.5 Goals. A red cross (❌) indicates that matches against similarly ranked opponents have often failed to clear the Over 2.5 Goals line. A “Neutral” rating suggests that results have been mixed, with no consistent Over or Under 2.5 Goals trend. A “No Data” tag highlights that one or both teams have played fewer than three matches against similarly ranked opponents this season, so there is currently insufficient data to produce a reliable rating.
  • O2.5 Recent H2H - A green tick (✅) indicates that a very high percentage of recent league meetings between the two teams have cleared Over 2.5 Goals. A red cross (❌) signals that the majority of recent league meetings have finished on Under 2.5 Goals scorelines. If tagged as “Neutral” then the recent H2H is a mixed bag with no obvious trend, therefore H2H should be excluded from consideration. “No Data” means this is either the first ever meeting between the two teams or they have not played against each other for at least the last three seasons in league competition. Our team class only H2H league data from the last 2-3 years as relevant because management teams and playing staff change on a regular basis.
  • Predicted Home Goals - Number of goals the home team is predicted to score in this fixture based on our stats model.
  • Predicted Away Goals - Number of goals the away team is predicted to score in this fixture based on our stats model.‍
  • Predicted Total Goals - Predicted Home Goals + Predicted Away Goals.
  • Goals Guru Scorecast - Our data-driven prediction of the most likely final scoreline, calculated using the full data from the Daily Qualifier Card. Our score prediction model has a high strike rate for being "in the ballpark" when it comes to full-time results although we don't advise bettors to back exact scorelines - our Scorecast should simply be used as a guide when betting in the goal markets as exact scorelines are extremely difficult to predict.
  • Our Pick - After assessing all the key statistics on the Qualifier Card, we predict whether we expect the selection to surpass the Over 1.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals lines.
  • "My Shortlist" Toggle - In the bottom right corner of each Daily Qualifier Card, you will find a toggle which can be clicked to add the fixture to "My Shortlist" for further consideration or to create your own multiple betting slips.

ℹ️ NOTE: For clarity our "Goals Guru Scorecast" considers the Form Stats, Season Stats, O2.5 Recent H2H and Match Forecast data as a collective to arrive at what we consider to be the most likely final scoreline for each fixture.

🎯 Suggested Markets & Best Odds:

  • O1.5 - Over 1.5 Goals.
  • O2.5 - Over 2.5 Goals.
  • BTTS - Both Teams To Score.
  • FHG - 1+ goals in the 1st half.
  • FHG+ - 2+ goals in the 1st half.
  • SHG - 1+ goals in the 2nd half.
  • SHG+ - 2+ goals in the 2nd half.

ℹ️ NOTE: All “Suggested Markets” ticks and "Our Pick" have passed through our bespoke filters based on extensive goal stats from full season data - they are NOT influenced by recent form, which is available on the Daily Qualifier Card and should be considered before deciding which market(s) to select from. We also list the best available prices for each of the seven markets above - although we do advise bettors to cross-reference with our ✅ / ❌ system before deciding which market(s) to select. Best Odds are available in either fractional or decimal format - you can switch between both options via a toggle on the Daily Qualifiers page, or set your "Preferred Odds" in the "Profile" tab.

Want to put our Daily Qualifier stats into practice? Read our guide to choosing football matches to bet on using statistics and learn how to turn the data into a focused betting shortlist.