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Daily Qualifiers Guide: Key Terms & Stats Explained

Daily Qualifiers Guide: Key Terms & Stats Explained

All our Daily Qualifiers have passed through a multitude of key filters to appear on this page - that’s why our shortlists tend to find goals on a consistent basis. For those of you who wish to pick their own bets, we’ve done most of the hard work for you here!

The “key terms” for our Daily Qualifier Cards are explained below - any questions just drop us an e-mail!

ℹ️ Form/Season Stats, Recent H2H & Match Forecast:

  • O2.5 Form Rating - Over 2.5 Goals strike rate for the last 5 home matches played by the home team + Over 2.5 Goals strike rate for the last 5 away matches played by the away team.
  • Home Form GPG - Goals Per Game average for the last 5 matches played by the home team.
  • Away Form GPG - Goals Per Game average for the last 5 matches played by the away team.
  • Form Average GPG - Average of Home Form GPG + Away Form GPG.
  • FHG Form Rating - FHG strike rate for the last 5 home matches played by the home team + FHG strike rate for the last 5 away matches played by the away team.
  • SHG Form Rating - SHG strike rate for the last 5 home matches played by the home team + SHG strike rate for the last 5 away matches played by the away team.
  • Home Scored GPG - Average Goals Per Game Scored by the home team across all of their home fixtures played this season.
  • Home Conceded GPG - Average Goals Per Game Conceded by the home team across all of their home fixtures played this season.
  • Home Match GPG - Average Total Goals Per Game across all of the home fixtures played by the hosts this season.
  • Away Scored GPG - Average Goals Per Game Scored by the away team across all of their away fixtures played this season.
  • Away Conceded GPG - Average Goals Per Game Conceded by the away team across all of their away fixtures played this season.
  • Away Match GPG - Average Total Goals Per Game across all of the away fixtures played by the visitors this season.
  • Recent H2H - A green tick (✅) indicates that a very high percentage of recent league meetings between the two teams have cleared Over 2.5 Goals. A red cross (❌) signals that the majority of recent league meetings have finished on Under 2.5 Goals scorelines. If tagged as “Neutral” then the recent H2H is a mixed bag with no obvious trend. “No Data” means this is either the first ever meeting between the two teams or they have not played against each other for at least the last three seasons. Our team only class H2H league data from the last 2-3 years as relevant as management and playing staff change on a regular basis.
  • Predicted Home Goals - Number of goals the home team is predicted to score in this fixture based on our stats model.
  • Predicted Away Goals - Number of goals the away team is predicted to score in this fixture based on our stats model.
  • Predicted Total Goals - Predicted Home Goals + Predicted Away Goals.
  • Star Rating - Each fixture is given a Star Rating of 1-5 stars to indicate the strength of the selection, with 1 star being the weakest and 5 stars the strongest for goals.

ℹ️ Suggested Markets:

  • O1.5 - Over 1.5 Goals.
  • O2.5 - Over 2.5 Goals.
  • BTTS - Both Teams To Score.
  • FHG - 1+ goals in the 1st half.
  • FHG+ - 2+ goals in the 1st half.
  • SHG - 1+ goals in the 2nd half.
  • SHG+ - 2+ goals in the 2nd half.

⚠️ NOTE: All “Suggested Markets” ticks have passed through our bespoke filters based on extensive goal stats to pass as qualifiers.

ℹ️ Attack Strengths (coloured badge to the left of the home team):

  • Elite (green) - Average GPG Scored for one team is 2.00+, while their opponents have an Average GPG Scored of 1.50+ (both teams are prolific scorers).
  • Strong (yellow) - Average GPG Scored for one team is 2.00+, while their opponents have an Average GPG Scored of 1.00-1.49 (one team is prolific, while the other is also capable of contributing to the final scoreline).
  • Standard (light blue) - Both teams have an Average GPG Scored of 1.00-1.99 (neither team can be classed as heavy scorers, but goals are still expected based on our stats model).

⚠️ NOTE: All qualifiers are from league matches only. In addition, no fixture will ever be listed as a qualifier if either team is averaging less than 1.00 goals scored per game.