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Betting Market Essentials: Double Chance Explained

Betting Market Essentials: Double Chance Explained

When you’re not confident enough to pick a straight winner - but still want action on the match - Double Chance is one of the safest ways to stay involved.

At Goals Guru, we often see bettors use this market incorrectly - either overpaying for protection or using it where the edge just isn’t there.

Here’s how Double Chance really works and when it makes sense to use it.

🎯 What Is Double Chance?

Double Chance is a bet on two outcomes of a football match instead of one.

You can choose:

  • 1X → Home team win or draw.
  • X2 → Away team win or draw.
  • 12 → Either team to win (draw = lose).

It covers 90 minutes + injury time and is available in nearly every league and market.

Note: Backing a team in the Double Chance market is exactly the same bet as backing a team in the +0.5 Asian Handicap market, so we suggest checking both market prices and using the one with the highest odds.

🧠 Why Use Double Chance?

✅ Safer Than 1X2

You're increasing your chances of winning - at the cost of reduced odds.

✅ Useful in Tight Fixtures

Perfect when you fancy an underdog not to lose but don’t quite trust them to win.

✅ Ideal for Defensive Matchups

When two teams are likely to cancel each other out, 1X or X2 gives you breathing room.

Common Mistakes with Double Chance

❌ Overpaying for Protection

If a team is already 1.30 to win, taking 1X at 1.05 adds almost no value - it just kills the upside.

❌ Using It Emotionally

Backing your favourite team to nick at least a draw isn’t strategy - it’s bias.

❌ Confusing It With Draw No Bet

They sound similar but they’re very different (we’ll explain below 👇).

🆚 Double Chance vs Draw No Bet (DNB)

Feature Double Chance (1X/X2/12) Draw No Bet (DNB)
Covers the Draw? Yes – you win on a draw Yes – you refund on a draw
Odds Lower (more protection) Higher (more risk)
Good for? Underdogs not to lose Risk-managed win attempts

Example:
If you like Brentford at home vs Spurs, but don’t trust them to win outright:

  • Brentford DNB = Win or refund.
  • Brentford 1X = Win or Draw = win bet.

🧠 When To Use Double Chance

  • You see value on a draw and want coverage.
  • One team is undervalued but might not win.
  • You’re building low-risk multiples or bet builders.
  • A favourite has key absentees and could underperform.

💡 Betting Tips

  • Look for short-priced home favourites with poor home records → X2 can often be the smarter play.
  • Look for short-priced away favourites with poor away records → 1X can often be the smarter play.
  • Track Draw % trends - leagues like Ligue 1 and Serie B often throw up tight results.
  • Consider it for 1st-leg cup matches, where teams may play cagey.

Final Thoughts

Double Chance is a flexible tool - but it’s only useful when the price makes sense. Use it strategically, not just to feel more comfortable.

👉 Want to see where we use Double Chance in our weekly picks?
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